by
Mitch Battros (ECTV)
This
is the latest and strongest endorsement for ECTV to date. News
is catching on fast, and I couldn't be more thrilled. I have posted
the article in its entirety. As stated in my article dated October
14th, lake bottom core samples are the most accurate findings
which tell us of our past. http://www.earthchangestv.com/breaking/October2002/14connection.htm
Scientist
are now openly stating the Sun is the cause of extreme weather
cycles. The paragraph below is a direct quote from Dr. Paul R.
Bierman, a geologist at the University of Vermont. I am extremely
pleased to see our scientist beginning to catch up with our ancestor,
and their accurate description of our current times as written
in ancient text.
"The
similar storm rhythms seen around the North Atlantic may mean
that the overall pattern is driven by slow cycles in a pole-girdling
wind and pressure pattern called the Arctic oscillation, which
in turn could be caused by cycles of solar activity, they said."
Dr. Paul Bierman
Study
Finds Storm Cycles Etched in Lake Beds (10/25/02)
By
Andrew C. Revkin - New York Times
Four
times since the last ice age, at intervals roughly 3,000 years
apart, the Northeast has been struck by cycles of storms far more
powerful than any in recent times, according to a new study. The
region appears to have entered a fifth era in which such large
storms are more likely, the researchers say.
No
one should necessarily start building dikes right away, say the
researchers, who reported their work yesterday in the journal
Nature. The stormy periods they identified each lasted a millennium
or more, and giant floods occurred only sporadically in those
stretches.
Still,
the work illustrates that natural extremes of weather - what one
researcher, Paul R. Bierman, a geologist at the University of
Vermont, called a "drumbeat of storminess" - are many
times greater than those experienced in the modern era.
The
researchers spent several years extracting 12- to 20-foot-long
cores of sediment that accumulated over 13,000 years
in the beds of 2 lakes in eastern New York and 11 in Vermont.
Buried
in the muck were layer-cake patterns of sandy soil, each layer
evidently formed when slopes crumbled under torrents of water
and were washed into the lakes. Some of these layers are 10 times
as thick as one apparently left by the greatest flood recorded
in Vermont, which killed 84 people, drowned thousands of cows
and demolished 1,200 bridges in November 1927.
Layers
that thick could be explained only by deluges far more potent
than the storm of 1927, the scientists said.
By
helping to reveal elusive long-term patterns, the findings could
eventually improve long-term climate forecasts and models, said
Richard B. Alley, a Pennsylvania State University geologist who
is an expert on post-ice-age conditions and was not involved with
the new study.
"This
work shows that extremes are not just acts of God that happen
to happen," Dr. Alley said. "They are linked to larger
patterns in the climate system that may prove to be predictable."
Experts
in the emerging science of paleotempestology, which uses such
buried clues to discern past patterns of destructive weather,
called the work a significant advance. In particular, it is the
first study to compile data from many separate lake beds, reducing
the chance that the patterns resulted from fluky local conditions,
said Kam-biu Liu, a geographer at Louisiana State University who
has used the technique to study ancient hurricanes. Dr. Liu called
the new work "a triumph."
The
clues from the lakes appear to mesh with evidence of other periods
of stormy weather around the North Atlantic,
including
variations in traces of salt from sea spray locked in layers of
Greenland glaciers, the authors said. They also appear synchronized
with the occasional cold snaps in Europe that sent glaciers grinding
forward down alpine valleys, the study says.
The
similar storm rhythms seen around the North Atlantic may mean
that the overall pattern is driven by slow cycles in
a pole-girdling wind and pressure pattern called the Arctic oscillation,
which in turn could be caused by cycles of solar activity, they
said.
Equation:
Sunspots
=> Solar Flares => Magnetic Shift => Shifting Ocean and
Jet Stream Currents => Extreme Weather
and Human Disruption (mitch battros)
The
lake records from the Northeast show that the region had much
stormier eras that peaked 11,900, 9,100, 5,800 and 2,600
years ago. Then, about 600 years ago, another period of storminess
appeared to begin and has been "ramping back up
again," Dr. Bierman said.
The
current trend is so prolonged and diffuse that the century-plus
history of recorded weather data is not long enough to pick up
a pattern. But it is etched quite clearly in the lake beds, said
another author, Eric J. Steig, a climatologist at the University
of Washington.
The
scientists checked to see whether influences other than big storms
might have made the surrounding earth more apt to crumble.
They considered forest fires, but found no evidence of raised
concentrations of charcoal in the lake bottom.
The
likeliest source of each layer is an intense burst of precipitation,
perhaps on already soggy soil, over just a day or two, the researchers
said. Given the much greater thickness of many of the ancient
layers compared with those left by floods like the 1927 disaster
in Vermont, they said, society should at least ponder the potential
for much greater catastrophes.
In
an interview, the researchers emphasized that there was no way
to quantify how severe the flooding might be, but they said rainfall
could reach several inches an hour - easily enough to cause massive
landslides, particularly if the soil was already soggy.
"This
shows that in human experience, at least historical human experience,
we don't know what this climate system is capable of,"
Dr. Steig said.
While
revealing the rising potential for epic storms, the new findings
are likely to confound efforts to discern whether human alterations
of the atmosphere, particularly a buildup of heat-trapping greenhouse
gases, are increasing the frequency of severe downpours, as many
climate experts have predicted.
But
the research could indicate that engineers and planners, when
considering the design of public works like bridges and reservoirs,
should take into account the possibility of extremely rare, but
extremely destructive, floods, said the study's lead author, Anders
J. Noren, formerly of the University of Vermont and now at the
Limnological Research Center of the University of Minnesota.
"If
this cycle continues," Mr. Noren said, "the frequency
and severity of intense rainstorms that can cause massive flooding
should continue to increase for the next several hundred years."
Thought
For The Day
"It
is when we understand the past, we will know the present, which
tells of the future"
Mitch
Battros
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Battros
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